538 President 2024 Prediction

538 President 2024 Prediction. For 2024, 538 built a new presidential election forecast model from the ground up. Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with fundamental factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean.

This chart visualizes the current probabilities of each candidate winning individual states. Updated daily, includes state and national polls for every matchup, including biden, harris, trump, and desantis.